Heavy snow blamed for shock fall in retail sales

LAST month’s heavy snow saw retailers suffer a shock fall in sales last month after many small grocers were forced to shut up shop amid the freezing weather.

LAST month’s heavy snow saw retailers suffer a shock fall in sales last month after many small grocers were forced to shut up shop amid the freezing weather.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said retail sales volumes fell 0.6% between December and January, driven by the biggest month-on-month fall in food volumes since May 2011.

Small shops, such as convenience stores and high-street butchers and bakers, were hardest hit with sales falling 14.9% year on year, but online shopping services are thought to have helped large supermarket chains record a rise of 0.3%. The figures dashed City expectations for a 0.5% rise in volumes after the closely-watched British Retail Consortium’s figures for the first two weeks of January showed like-for-like sales up 3%.

And there was further disappointment over the crucial December trading period after the ONS revealed a downward-revised fall of 0.3% from 0.1% previously.

The gloomy sales report will reignite fears that the UK economy is on course for a triple-dip recession after the first estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) in the final three months of last year showed the economy contracted by a worse-than-expected 0.3%.

Further signs of the struggle on the high street came this week after fashion chain Republic collapsed into administration, joining this year’s other high-profile retail casualties HMV, Jessops and Blockbuster. But Samuel Tombs, UK economist at Capital Economics, gave hope of a bounce-back in the retail sector as he said sales were likely to recover in February, given that much of the fall was driven by the snow and its impact on food stores.

The ONS said sales also fell against a year earlier in January by 0.6%, bringing to a halt the year-on-year growth seen in the sector since August 2011.

Food sales fell 1.6% last month and were 2.6% lower year on year, according to the ONS.

The snow is also thought to have hit fuel sales, which were down 2% month on month, with retail sales volumes excluding fuel falling 0.5% between December and January.

But department stores continued their recent strong showing, with sales volumes up 1.6% on the previous month. Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist at IHS Global, said the figures showed many Britons reined in their spending at the beginning of the year.

The Association of Convenience Stores, which represents 33,500 small food shops, disputed the ONS findings that suggested many small stores were hit hardest by the snow.

Its public affairs director Shane Brennan said: “Small retailers were open and well-stocked throughout the snow-affected period and as is always the case they saw increases in custom as people travelled less to out-of-town stores.

“The trend is more likely related to the ongoing belt-tightening of consumers linked to the economic conditions and the pressure of competition from the big out-of-town stores.”


David Whetstone
Culture Editor
Graeme Whitfield
Business Editor
Mark Douglas
Newcastle United Editor
Stuart Rayner
Sports Writer